PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS
PROBABILITà E STATISTICA MATEMATICA
Probability and Statistics
Probabilità e Statistica Matematica
|Lecturer||Office hours for students|
|Renzo Lupini||Mon-Tue from 10:30 am 11:00 am and from 01:00 pm to 01:30 pm.|
Assigned to the Degree Course
|Date||Time||Classroom / Location|
The course is meant to provide the basics of the theory of probability, random variables and distribution functions as well as the main concepts of inferential statistics, namely estimation and hypothesis testing.
01. Discrete univariate random variables:
01.01 Generalities on random phenomena. Quantitative observations of systems in Physics, Economics and Biology. Frequencies of occurrence and law of large numbers.
01.02 Probability distribution and cumulative distribution function.
01.03 Bernoulli and Poisson distributions.
01.04 Events and their probabilities. Conditional probability. Independence and incompatibility.
02. Continuous univariate random variables:
02.01 Probability density and cumulative distribution functions.
02.02 Uniform, Gauss, Gamma and Chi-square distributions.
02.03 Functions of random variables and their probability density functions: modulus, power and square.
03. Analysis of univariate random variables:
03.01 Measures of location and spread: median, average and variance.
03.02 Tchebyshev Theorem.
03.03 Average and variance of Bernoulli, Gauss, Gamma and Chi-square distributions.
03.04 Higher order moments: skewness and kurtosis.
03.05 Moment-generating functions and characteristic functions.
04. Bivariate r.vs:
04.01 Joint and marginal distribution functions.
04.02 Bivariate Bernoulli and Gaussian distributions.
04.03 Events and their probabilities. Conditional probabilities and stochastic independence.
04.04 Real functions of bivariate random variables. Sum of independent random variables.
04.05 Center and Variance-Covariance matrix. Linear regression lines.
04.06 Linear and quadratic functions of bivariate random variables and their distributions.
04.07 Characteristic functions.
05 Multivariate random variables:
05.01 Probability distribution functions of multivariate random variables. Center and Variance-Covariance matrix nxn. Least-squares hyperplane.
05.02 Characteristic functions. Probability distribution functions of sums of independent multivariate random variables.
05.03 Multivariate Bernoulli and Gaussian distributions.
05.04 Univariate random variables associated with systems of normal standard independent random variables: Chisquare, T-student, F-Fisher
06 Sequence of random variables
06.01 Convergence in probability.
06.02 Convergence in probability to a number of a sequence of random variables. convergence in probability of the algebraic means to the average. Law of large numbers and Central Limit Theorem.
07.01 Populations and samples.
07.02 Sample functions for independent samples and their distributions.
07.03 Estimators of average and variance. Efficiency and Bias.
07.04 Interval estimation.
07.05 Hypotheses testing: test of normality, test of homogeneity and independence.
07.06 Test Chi-square.
Didactics, Attendance, Course Books and Assessment
Theory lectures and exercises, both face-to face and on-line.
Although recommended, course attendance is not mandatory.
- Course books
Lupini, "Lezioni di Probabilità e Statistica", Quattroventi, 2007.
Baldi, "Calcolo delle Probabilità e Statistica", McGraw-Hill, 1998.
W. Navidi, "Statistics", Mc Graw-Hill.
The course is offered both face-to-face and on-line within the Laurea Degree Program in Applied Computer Science.
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